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The Little Book of Sideways Markets: How to Make Money in by Vitaliy N. Katsenelson

By Vitaliy N. Katsenelson

"It's challenging to speak basically approximately making an investment and make feel to bland readers while. Katsenelson offers a lucid rationalization of today's markets with sound recommendation approximately tips on how to earn money whereas keeping off the traps that the marketplace units for exuberant bulls and apprehensive bears alike." -- Thomas G. Donlan, Barron's

"A completely stress-free learn. offers a transparent framework for fairness making an investment in today’s ‘sideways’ and risky markets beneficial to every person. transparent considering and transparent writing are usually not usually paired - good done!” -- Dick Weil, CEO, Janus Capital staff

"The bible for a way to speculate within the such a lot tumultuous monetary industry setting because the nice melancholy. a real guidebook for the way to construct wealth prudently.” -- David Rosenberg, leader Economist & Strategist, Gluskin Sheff + affiliates Inc.

"A tremendous, grounded learn for brand new and pro traders alike, Katsenelson explains in undeniable English why volatility and sideways markets are a inventory picker's most sensible friend.” -- The Motley idiot, www.Fool.com

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Extra resources for The Little Book of Sideways Markets: How to Make Money in Markets that Go Nowhere

Sample text

In the book, I never suggested I knew the range of these markets, but the book’s name suggested otherwise. “Sideways” is a more accurate and less technical description of these very real markets, and it is the term I adapted for use in the present book. indd 2 10/30/10 7:52:40 AM F A S T E N Y O U R S E AT B E LT [3] the cowardly lion, whose bursts of occasional bravery lead to stock appreciation but are ultimately overrun by fear that leads to a descent. We also split trends by how long they last.

Corporations start losing money; some go bankrupt. Also, unlike with inflation, the Federal Reserve has few weapons to fight deflation; thus companies are for the most part on their own. Though the discount rate used in discounted future cash flows benefits from low interest rates, the risk premium, an integral part of that equation, skyrockets. This to some degree explains why the Japanese market’s P/E collapsed—it declined from the mid-60s to the midteens over the last 20 years, while interest rates declined from high single digits to almost zero.

The precision of this zoning is on the vaguely right side. indd 30 11/1/10 3:13:25 PM D O N ’ T S H O OT THE MESSENGER [ 31 ] When inflation falls below a certain level, let’s say 1 percent, and we enter the Dead Zone of Deflation, investors become concerned that we’ll slip into deflation—a prolonged decrease in prices. Deflation brings very different risks to the table: It drives corporate revenues down while costs, which are often fixed, don’t go down. Corporations start losing money; some go bankrupt.

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