By David Karol
America's occasion approach is extremely reliable, yet its events' factor positions will not be. Democrats and Republicans have replaced aspects on many topics, together with alternate, civil rights, safety spending, and financial coverage, and polarized on more moderen matters like abortion and gun keep an eye on. but get together place switch continues to be poorly understood. during this publication David Karol perspectives events as coalitions of teams with extreme personal tastes on specific matters controlled by means of politicians. He explains vital diversifications in occasion place swap: the rate of shifts, the soundness of recent positions, and the level to which swap happens through variation by means of incumbents. Karol indicates that the major query is whether or not events are reacting to replaced personal tastes of coalition elements, incorporating new constituencies, or experimenting on "groupless" matters. He finds that variation through incumbents is a miles better resource of switch than formerly famous. This learn complements our figuring out of events, curiosity teams, and illustration.
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Extra resources for Party Position Change in American Politics: Coalition Management
Example text
Did President Bush’s opposition to same-sex marriage help him in 2004? Should Democrats push for gun control, which polls well? 7 Scholars cannot reach consensus on such questions. It is reasonable then to expect that politicians can disagree too, and absent a clear target group outside the coalition or pressure from one ensconced in it, they may maintain the same policy through inertia. 8 The second factor inhibiting convergence, even absent group constraints, is perceived interconnection between policies.
O. Key’s “secular realignment” model of change. The slower pace of change and greater role of elite replacement in such cases stem from the fact that these issues require politicians to redefine their coalitions along with their policies. ” At first the “subconstituencies” of politicians of both parties in a state or district, that is, the primary voters and activists to whom officials are closest, might differ little on a new issue. Division among a party’s officials leaves the party’s image fuzzy and discourages the realignment of groups.
In what these authors term a “punctuated equilibrium,” Democratic landslides in 1958 and 1964 reversed the parties’ traditional stands on race. Liberal Democrats replaced moderate Republican MCs in the North, empowering conservatives in the GOP and diluting the Southern element among the Democrats. Later elections widened the partisan gap on race. Yet while Carmines and Stimson cite cases in which replacement of an MC seemed to matter, they do not explore the possibility of shifts among veteran MCs.
