By Thomas W. Hertel, Uris Lantz C. Baldos
This publication explores the elemental determinants of long-term alterations in agricultural land use and the linked implications for environmental and nutrients safety. The e-book is designed round the concept that every one bankruptcy makes a speciality of one motive force, or underlying determinant, of land use swap at international scale. It begins with key components that have been influential long ago, corresponding to development inhabitants, earning and agricultural productiveness, thereafter turning to new drivers reminiscent of biofuels, weather switch and insist for environmental providers. really good subject matters comprise nutrition safety results, projections of destiny agricultural costs, greenhouse fuel emissions, the position of globalization and industry integration. The publication attracts seriously at the rising physique of literature on those issues, summarizes key findings and organizes those inside a unifying financial framework.
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Additional info for Global Change and the Challenges of Sustainably Feeding a Growing Planet
Org/economic/ess/en/. FAOSTAT. (2013). FAO Statistical Database Accessed (Nov 2013). Retrieved from http://faostat. org/. , & Fontagné, L. (2013). Modelling the world economy at the 2050 horizon. Economics of Transition, 21(4), 617–654. 12023. International Comparison Program. (1996). , & Regmi, A. (2011). International evidence on food consumption patterns: An update using 2005 International Comparison Program Data (Technical Bulletin No. 59). Department of Agriculture. gov/Publications/TB1929/.
We rely on the 2012 World Population Prospects (UNPD, 2013) in calculating both historical and future population growth rates. e. roughly two children per woman). We then combine population data with the historical as well as future projections of real GDP to construct the growth rates of per capita income. Historical income rates are taken from the World Development Indicators (2013) while future projections are based on Fouré, Bénassy-Quéré, and Fontagné (2013). In Fig. 7, we develop the economic intuition for how these key drivers of food demand affect the global crop markets.
Energy Information Agency. (2010). Annual energy outlook 2010 (Annual Energy Outlook No. DOE/EIA-0383(2010)). Washington, DC: US Department of Energy. K. (2005). Global consequences of land use. Science, 309(5734), 570–574. 1111772. Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN Media Centre. (2013, April 12). Feeding nine billion in 2050. org/news/story/en/item/174172/icode/. O. (2012). Productivity growth and technology capital in the global agricultural economy. O. L. E. 335–368). Cambridge, MA: CAB.