By Professor Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Richard Nadeau, Éric Bélanger
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2008; and Norpoth, 1987). The behavior of young French voters also seems to have evolved over time; their traditional support for the left seems to have crumbled over the past few elections (Muxel, 2007). To that, add a peculiar attraction to “new” political parties and to candidates on the extremes of the political spectrum, notably Jean-Marie Le Pen (see Perrineau, 1997; this same author still notes a recent influx in young voter support for Le Pen in 2007). It also seems that younger voters have been susceptible to the “Bayrou temptation” (Strudel, 2009).
It also seems that younger voters have been susceptible to the “Bayrou temptation” (Strudel, 2009). , environmentalism and Bayrouism). Gender The women’s vote in France seems to reveal certain unique characteristics that have led Le Hay and Mossuz-Lavau (2010) to ask the question in their title: Genre et politique: y a-t-il une exception française? Having entered electoral politics later, French women in the twentieth century had a tendency to support the right, until after the legislative elections of 1986 they aligned themselves more with the left (see Mossuz-Lavau, 2007).
Previous studies of France and other countries allow us to establish certain expectations regarding the effect of these factors on support for different candidates during presidential elections. We will examine these expectations for the four variables under study before undertaking the statistical analysis of their impact on presidential voting from 1988 to 2007. , 2004, have observed similar results in Canada and in Great Britain, respectively). However, this effect is not consistent and depends on contextual factors.
